Velo Clubevs
Água Santa
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 6/20/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Velo Clube are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Água Santa are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Água Santa hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (49.6 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.2%
Model confidence
44.2%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80