Velo Clube U20vsBotafogo SP U20

COMPLETED

Brazil · Paulista - U20 · 9/4/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Botafogo SP U20 · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Velo Clube U20 0-1 Botafogo SP U20, with an exact score probability of 15%.

Final result

Velo Clube U20 0-4 Botafogo SP U20

Original prediction

Botafogo SP U20

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:11 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50

Market	Odds	Implied probability	Model probability	Difference
Home	2.90	30.8%	24.9%	-5.9 pts
Draw	3.31	27.1%	27.3%	0.2 pts
Away	2.12	42.2%	47.8%	5.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.12 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

5.7 pts

Projected Score

Velo Clube U20 0–1 Botafogo SP U20

Exact score probability: 15%

Predicted outcome

Botafogo SP U20

Probability

47.8%

Model confidence

47.8%

Botafogo SP U20 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Velo Clube U20DDDWL

GF 2 · GA 6 · avg 0.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5

Botafogo SP U20WWDWL

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5

Velo Clube U20Botafogo SP U20

16.7Attack52.8

58.3Defence55.6

30.6Form41.7

37.5Power50.4

0.77xG1.26