Velez Sarsfieldvs
Platense
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/5/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Platense, with an exact score probability of 25%.
Prediction record
Final result
Velez Sarsfield 2-2 Platense
Original prediction
Velez Sarsfield
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:33 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.90 | 49.4% | 53.7% | 4.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 30.7% | 30.9% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 4.71 | 19.9% | 15.4% | -4.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.06 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
4.3 pts
Projected Score
Velez Sarsfield 1–0 Platense
Exact score probability: 25%
Predicted outcome
Velez Sarsfield
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20