GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 3/21/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velez Sarsfield are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Lanus are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 9.2-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 29.1% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 22% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

29.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velez SarsfieldWDWDW

GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 0/5
LanusWWLDL

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Velez SarsfieldLanus
38.1Attack36.5
76.2Defence68.3
60.3Form47.6
61.0Power51.8
0.81xG0.47
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