Velez Sarsfieldvs
Gimnasia M.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 10/17/2026, 11:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velez Sarsfield · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Gimnasia M., with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Gimnasia M.
Original prediction
Velez Sarsfield
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.77 | 52.7% | 51.5% | -1.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.45 | 27.1% | 29.2% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 4.63 | 20.2% | 19.3% | -0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.77 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.3 pts
Projected Score
Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Gimnasia M.
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Velez Sarsfield
Probability
51.5%
Model confidence
51.5%
Velez Sarsfield has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40