Velez Sarsfieldvs
Estudiantes L.P.
COMPLETEDArgentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 9/6/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Estudiantes L.P., with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Estudiantes L.P.
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.35 | 39.9% | 34.1% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 2.88 | 32.5% | 37.8% | 5.3 pts |
| Away | 3.39 | 27.6% | 28.1% | 0.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.3 pts
Projected Score
Velez Sarsfield 0–0 Estudiantes L.P.
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.8%
Model confidence
37.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60