Velez Sarsfieldvs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDArgentina · Copa Argentina · 9/3/2026, 12:15:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Boca Juniors · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Velez Sarsfield 0-0 Boca Juniors
Original prediction
Boca Juniors
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.37 | 21.4% | 35.0% | 13.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 28.4% | 28.4% | 0.0 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 50.2% | 36.6% | -13.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Boca Juniors
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
36.6%
Boca Juniors has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60