GGOALVIO

Argentina · Liga Profesional Argentina · 2/9/2026, 1:15:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Velez Sarsfield are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Boca Juniors are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Velez Sarsfield hold a 2.8-point power-rating edge (61.0 v 58.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 47.4% in the Liga Profesional Argentina, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 23% BTTS chance and 14% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

47.4%

Model confidence

47.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Velez SarsfieldDWWLD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Boca JuniorsWLWWD

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Velez SarsfieldBoca Juniors
38.1Attack44.4
76.2Defence71.4
60.3Form55.6
61.0Power58.3
0.71xG0.58
View match centre →