GGOALVIO

Russia · Second League A - Division A Gold · 7/23/2023, 4:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Veles are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LDLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Rotor Volgograd are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 8 games and 1 passed 2.5 goals, and Rotor Volgograd hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (46.8 v 54.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.4% in the Second League A - Division A Gold, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

44.4%

Model confidence

44.4%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VelesLDLLL

GF 1 · GA 5 · avg 0.20/1.00

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Rotor VolgogradDLL

GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.33/1.33

BTTS 1/3O2.5 0/3
VelesRotor Volgograd
29.6Attack38.9
61.1Defence68.5
44.4Form51.9
46.8Power54.8
0.59xG0.85
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