Veležvs
Siroki Brijeg
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/9/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Siroki Brijeg · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (14%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Velež 0-0 Siroki Brijeg
Original prediction
Siroki Brijeg
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 17:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.06 | 43.6% | 29.5% | -14.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.1% | 27.5% | -1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.27 | 27.4% | 43.0% | 15.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
15.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–114%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Siroki Brijeg
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
43.0%
Siroki Brijeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80