GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 8/20/2023, 7:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Siroki Brijeg · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Velež are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Siroki Brijeg are 3W-1D-0L in their last 4 (WWWD), averaging 1.50 scored and 0.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Siroki Brijeg hold a 49.5-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 64.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.5% in the Premijer Liga, while Siroki Brijeg holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 41% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Siroki Brijeg

Probability

39.5%

Model confidence

39.5%

Siroki Brijeg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VeležDWWWL

GF 10 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.20

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Siroki BrijegWWWD

GF 6 · GA 2 · avg 1.50/0.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 1/4
VeležSiroki Brijeg
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence83.3
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power64.8
1.03xG1.31
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