Veležvs
Radnik Bijeljina
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velež · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (9%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Velež 1-1 Radnik Bijeljina
Original prediction
Velež
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.88 | 48.0% | 42.0% | -5.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 29.3% | 27.6% | -1.7 pts |
| Away | 3.98 | 22.7% | 30.3% | 7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–09%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Velež
Probability
42.0%
Model confidence
42.0%
Velež has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VeležLWLLL
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Radnik BijeljinaDLLDL
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VeležRadnik Bijeljina
25.0Attack33.3
33.3Defence25.0
25.0Form16.7
30.7Power28.0
1.40xG1.19