Veležvs
FK Sarajevo
COMPLETEDBosnia · Premijer Liga · 9/13/2026, 6:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FK Sarajevo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Velež 0-0 FK Sarajevo, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Velež 1-0 FK Sarajevo
Original prediction
FK Sarajevo
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.16 | 28.3% | 25.8% | -2.5 pts |
| Draw | 2.89 | 31.0% | 29.7% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.20 | 40.7% | 44.5% | 3.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.8 pts
Projected Score
Velež 0–0 FK Sarajevo
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
FK Sarajevo
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
FK Sarajevo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VeležLDLWL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
FK SarajevoLWWLW
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VeležFK Sarajevo
27.8Attack22.2
33.3Defence77.8
22.2Form55.6
30.8Power54.9
0.71xG1.16