GGOALVIO

Bosnia · Premijer Liga · 10/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

BSK Banja Luka · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Velež 2-3 BSK Banja Luka

Original prediction

BSK Banja Luka

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:40 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 3.50+
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6754.5%36.5%-18.0 pts
Draw3.4226.6%26.8%0.2 pts
Away4.8218.9%36.7%17.8 pts

Historical EV

1X2 3.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

17.8 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–012%
  3. 3.0–112%

Predicted outcome

BSK Banja Luka

Probability

36.7%

Model confidence

36.7%

BSK Banja Luka has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

VeležDLWLD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
BSK Banja LukaDLDDW

GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
VeležBSK Banja Luka
22.2Attack43.3
48.1Defence43.3
29.6Form30.0
36.3Power41.3
0.99xG1.23
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