Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velden · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Velden are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Wolfsberg are 0W-2D-1L in their last 3 (DDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 3.33 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Velden hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (64.8 v 48.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.5% in the Regionalliga - South, while Velden holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Velden
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
14.5%
Velden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/3.33