Veldenvs
Donau Klagenfurt
COMPLETEDAustria · Regionalliga - South · 10/16/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velden · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Velden 2-0 Donau Klagenfurt, with an exact score probability of 17%.
Prediction record
Final result
Velden 1-1 Donau Klagenfurt
Original prediction
Velden
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.18 | 77.0% | 69.0% | -7.9 pts |
| Draw | 5.84 | 15.6% | 17.9% | 2.4 pts |
| Away | 12.14 | 7.5% | 13.1% | 5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 4.84 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.9 pts
Projected Score
Velden 2–0 Donau Klagenfurt
Exact score probability: 17%
Predicted outcome
Velden
Probability
69.0%
Model confidence
69.0%
Velden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VeldenWWDWW
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Donau KlagenfurtWLLLD
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
VeldenDonau Klagenfurt
60.0Attack26.7
73.3Defence33.3
73.3Form10.0
70.3Power27.0
2.96xG0.39