Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Velden · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Velden are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bleiburg are 0W-0D-1L in their last 1 (L), averaging 0.00 scored and 4.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Velden hold an 18.9-point power-rating edge (59.1 v 40.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Regionalliga - South, while Velden holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Velden
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Velden has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 8 · avg 2.40/1.60
GF 0 · GA 4 · avg 0.00/4.00