Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vejle · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (8%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vejle 1-2 Hvidovre
Original prediction
Vejle
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 06:32 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.68 | 54.8% | 41.7% | -13.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.86 | 23.9% | 24.6% | 0.7 pts |
| Away | 4.32 | 21.3% | 33.7% | 12.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–28%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Vejle
Probability
41.7%
Model confidence
41.7%
Vejle has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VejleLDLDW
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HvidovreWWDWW
GF 14 · GA 8 · avg 2.80/1.60
BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
VejleHvidovre
81.5Attack66.7
51.9Defence66.7
70.4Form77.8
69.4Power72.8
1.72xG1.74