GGOALVIO

Japan · J2 League · 8/15/2026, 10:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Oita Trinita · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vegalta Sendai are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Oita Trinita are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Oita Trinita hold a 6.4-point power-rating edge (45.0 v 51.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.7% in the J2 League, while Oita Trinita holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Oita Trinita

Probability

36.5%

Model confidence

14.7%

Oita Trinita has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vegalta SendaiLLWLW

GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Oita TrinitaLWDWL

GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Vegalta SendaiOita Trinita
38.1Attack42.9
51.6Defence55.6
38.1Form49.2
45.0Power51.4
1.06xG1.16
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