Vegalta Sendaivs
Jubilo Iwata
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/4/2026, 6:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vegalta Sendai · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (13%), 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vegalta Sendai 2-1 Jubilo Iwata
Original prediction
Vegalta Sendai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 00:14 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.15 | 42.6% | 45.5% | 2.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.5% | 28.0% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 3.06 | 29.9% | 26.5% | -3.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.15 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–013%
- 2.1–013%
- 3.1–111%
Predicted outcome
Vegalta Sendai
Probability
45.5%
Model confidence
45.5%
Vegalta Sendai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40