Vegalta Sendaivs
Imabari
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 10/21/2026, 10:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vegalta Sendai · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Projected score: Vegalta Sendai 2-0 Imabari, with an exact score probability of 16%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vegalta Sendai 3-1 Imabari
Original prediction
Vegalta Sendai
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:43 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.42 | 64.3% | 77.3% | 13.0 pts |
| Draw | 4.32 | 21.2% | 14.9% | -6.2 pts |
| Away | 6.29 | 14.5% | 7.8% | -6.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.42 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.0 pts
Projected Score
Vegalta Sendai 2–0 Imabari
Exact score probability: 16%
Predicted outcome
Vegalta Sendai
Probability
77.3%
Model confidence
77.3%
Vegalta Sendai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vegalta SendaiDWWWW
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
ImabariDWWLL
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Vegalta SendaiImabari
54.5Attack42.4
75.8Defence33.3
72.7Form33.3
69.2Power39.2
2.55xG0.54