Vegalta Sendaivs
Consadole Sapporo
COMPLETEDJapan · J2 League · 9/13/2026, 9:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vegalta Sendai · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vegalta Sendai 1-1 Consadole Sapporo
Original prediction
Vegalta Sendai
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.8% | 54.1% | 6.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.33 | 27.4% | 24.3% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 3.66 | 24.9% | 21.6% | -3.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.33 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
6.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–19%
Predicted outcome
Vegalta Sendai
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
54.1%
Vegalta Sendai has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 9 · avg 2.60/1.80
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60