Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Salcedo · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (14%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vega Real 0-1 Salcedo
Original prediction
Salcedo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–114%
Predicted outcome
Salcedo
Probability
43.9%
Model confidence
43.9%
Salcedo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vega RealWWWLW
GF 10 · GA 2 · avg 2.00/0.40
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
SalcedoWWWDW
GF 6 · GA 1 · avg 1.20/0.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Vega RealSalcedo
51.9Attack66.7
70.4Defence85.2
59.3Form85.2
60.4Power79.2
0.86xG1.17