GGOALVIO

Dominican-Republic · Liga Mayor · 4/12/2023, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vega Real are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atlético Pantoja are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (WLD), averaging 0.67 scored and 0.67 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 5 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Atlético Pantoja hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (46.9 v 53.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.3% in the Liga Mayor, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 30% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.3%

Model confidence

42.3%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vega RealWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Atlético PantojaWLD

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 0.67/0.67

BTTS 1/3O2.5 1/3
Vega RealAtlético Pantoja
27.4Attack46.4
64.3Defence63.1
41.7Form47.6
46.9Power53.1
0.64xG0.92
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