Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vatanspor · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Vatanspor are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Aalborg are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 88.7 against 88.7. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.5% in the DBU Pokalen, while Vatanspor holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 79% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vatanspor
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
7.5%
Vatanspor has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/1.50
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60