Vasteras SK FKvs
Sirius
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/5/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sirius · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasteras SK FK 0-1 Sirius
Original prediction
Sirius
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.67 | 25.4% | 20.4% | -5.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.74 | 24.9% | 18.6% | -6.3 pts |
| Away | 1.87 | 49.7% | 61.0% | 11.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.87 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Sirius
Probability
61.0%
Model confidence
61.0%
Sirius has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vasteras SK FKWDWLW
GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
SiriusLWLLD
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Vasteras SK FKSirius
49.1Attack82.5
42.1Defence52.6
50.9Form73.7
49.0Power70.1
1.41xG2.72