AllsvenskanAllsvenskan
Friday, 24 July 2026Last updated 10:09
Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK

Home
DWW
20
Full time
Orgryte IS

Orgryte IS

Away
WL
Hitachi Energy Arena
GoalVio prediction
66% confidence
Vasteras SK FK(66%)
Most likely exact score2-0
Win probability
Vasteras SK FK
66%
Draw
23%
Orgryte IS
11%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vasteras SK FK
61
Orgryte IS
73
Defence
Vasteras SK FK
86
Orgryte IS
6
Momentum
Vasteras SK FK
78
Orgryte IS
50
Danger (xG)
Vasteras SK FK
0.00
Orgryte IS
0.00
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Vasteras SK FK)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Orgryte IS)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Vasteras SK FK)
0.00
avg per match
xG against (Orgryte IS)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Vasteras SK FKVasteras SK FK
DWWD
Orgryte ISOrgryte IS
WLL

Probability breakdown

66% confidence
Vasteras SK FK66%
Draw23%
Orgryte IS11%

Vasteras SK FK leads with 66% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Vasteras SK FK head into this in Allsvenskan fixture at Hitachi Energy Arena in decent form (DWW), while Orgryte IS arrive in mixed form (WL). Vasteras SK FK have a 67% win rate across their last 3 matches, compared to 50% for Orgryte IS over 2 games.

Tactically, this looks like a one-sided contest. Vasteras SK FK's strong attack (61/100) faces a vulnerable Orgryte IS defence (6/100), while Orgryte IS's attack is up against a watertight Vasteras SK FK backline. The model sees a clear mismatch in Vasteras SK FK's favour.

Vasteras SK FK have won 1 of their last 2 home fixtures, averaging 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per game at home. Orgryte IS have found it tough away from home, failing to win any of their last 2 away matches. They average 0.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded per away game.

Vasteras SK FK have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match, overperforming their xG in 67% of recent matches. Orgryte IS have generated 0.00 xG per game recently while conceding 0.00 xG per match.

There is no head-to-head data between Vasteras SK FK and Orgryte IS in the engine.

The GoalVio engine projects Vasteras SK FK to win with 66% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 2-0. Win probabilities: Vasteras SK FK 6611%, Draw 2275%, Orgryte IS 1114%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Recent form

Vasteras SK FK

Vasteras SK FK

D
@ Mjallby AIF
17 Jul 2026
00
xG 0.0
W
vs Degerfors IF
12 Jul 2026
20
xG 0.0
W
@ Halmstad
4 Jul 2026
31
xG 0.0
D
vs AIK Stockholm
17 May 2026
11
Orgryte IS

Orgryte IS

W
vs BK Hacken
11 Jul 2026
43
xG 0.0
L
@ Kalmar FF
5 Jul 2026
03
xG 0.0
L
@ Sirius
11 May 2026
02

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS?

GoalVio's model predicts Vasteras SK FK to win with 66% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 2-0.

Will both teams score in Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasteras SK FK vs Orgryte IS?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more