GGOALVIO

Sweden · Superettan · 4/10/2023, 1:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasteras SK FK · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vasteras SK FK are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Orgryte IS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasteras SK FK hold a 21.5-point power-rating edge (66.5 v 44.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.4% in the Superettan, while Vasteras SK FK holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasteras SK FK

Probability

65.4%

Model confidence

65.4%

Vasteras SK FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasteras SK FKWWLLW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Orgryte ISDLWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vasteras SK FKOrgryte IS
53.3Attack36.5
73.3Defence51.0
70.0Form39.6
66.5Power44.9
1.80xG0.50
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