Vasteras SK FKvs
Mjallby AIF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasteras SK FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasteras SK FK 1-0 Mjallby AIF
Original prediction
Vasteras SK FK
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 01:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 40.0% | 51.7% | 11.7 pts |
| Draw | 3.42 | 27.2% | 22.7% | -4.5 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 32.8% | 25.6% | -7.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.32 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.7 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.2–09%
Predicted outcome
Vasteras SK FK
Probability
51.7%
Model confidence
51.7%
Vasteras SK FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20