Vasteras SK FKvs
Malmo FF
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 9/19/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Malmo FF · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasteras SK FK 2-0 Malmo FF
Original prediction
Malmo FF
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 4 September 2026 at 03:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.07 | 30.1% | 33.7% | 3.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 26.3% | 22.3% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.12 | 43.6% | 44.0% | 0.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Malmo FF
Probability
44.0%
Model confidence
44.0%
Malmo FF has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 10 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/1.00