Vasteras SK FKvs
IF elfsborg
COMPLETEDSweden · Allsvenskan · 4/11/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IF elfsborg · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vasteras SK FK are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded, while IF elfsborg are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IF elfsborg hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 54.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.4% in the Allsvenskan, while IF elfsborg holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IF elfsborg
Probability
40.8%
Model confidence
13.4%
IF elfsborg has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20