GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 10/23/2026, 5:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasteras SK FK · BTTS No · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-0 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Vasteras SK FK 1-2 Halmstad

Original prediction

Vasteras SK FK

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 3 October 2026 at 06:54 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.6755.7%61.9%6.2 pts
Draw3.8923.9%21.6%-2.3 pts
Away4.5620.4%16.5%-3.9 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

6.2 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–014%
  2. 2.1–012%
  3. 3.1–110%

Predicted outcome

Vasteras SK FK

Probability

61.9%

Model confidence

61.9%

Vasteras SK FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasteras SK FKWLLWW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
HalmstadLLWWL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vasteras SK FKHalmstad
48.6Attack22.2
50.0Defence37.5
52.8Form19.4
51.7Power29.8
2.10xG0.69
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