GGOALVIO

Sweden · Allsvenskan · 5/17/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasteras SK FK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vasteras SK FK are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while AIK stockholm are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and AIK stockholm hold a 2.4-point power-rating edge (49.5 v 51.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Allsvenskan, while Vasteras SK FK holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasteras SK FK

Probability

40.1%

Model confidence

11.6%

Vasteras SK FK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasteras SK FKLLWDL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
AIK stockholmLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vasteras SK FKAIK stockholm
52.1Attack45.8
39.6Defence50.0
52.1Form52.1
49.5Power51.9
1.67xG1.53
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