Vasco DA Gamavs
Vitoria
COMPLETEDBrazil · Copa Do Brasil · 8/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasco DA Gama 1-0 Vitoria
Original prediction
Vasco DA Gama
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.56 | 60.2% | 47.0% | -13.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.72 | 25.2% | 27.3% | 2.1 pts |
| Away | 6.39 | 14.6% | 25.7% | 11.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.56 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–012%
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
47.0%
Model confidence
47.0%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20