GGOALVIO

Brazil · Copa Do Brasil · 8/27/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Vitoria are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold an 11.5-point power-rating edge (68.0 v 56.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.3% in the Copa Do Brasil, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 40% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

43.5%

Model confidence

14.3%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaDDWDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 0.80/0.20

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
VitoriaLWLLL

GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaVitoria
58.3Attack58.3
75.0Defence66.7
66.7Form50.0
68.0Power56.5
1.32xG0.96
View match centre →