Vasco DA Gamavs
Santa Fe
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/15/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Santa Fe, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasco DA Gama 2-0 Santa Fe
Original prediction
Vasco DA Gama
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.47 | 64.0% | 50.3% | -13.7 pts |
| Draw | 4.16 | 22.6% | 28.2% | 5.6 pts |
| Away | 7.00 | 13.4% | 21.5% | 8.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.47 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-13.7 pts
Projected Score
Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Santa Fe
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
50.3%
Model confidence
50.3%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00