Vasco DA Gamavs
Puerto Cabello
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/9/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vasco DA Gama are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (LDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Puerto Cabello are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 16.2-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 32% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 7 · avg 2.20/1.40
GF 3 · GA 2 · avg 0.60/0.40