GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/30/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Olimpia are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DWWLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Olimpia hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 65.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.6% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 33% BTTS chance and 23% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

41.6%

Model confidence

41.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaLWWLD

GF 6 · GA 5 · avg 1.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OlimpiaDWWLD

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaOlimpia
48.1Attack45.8
70.4Defence75.0
55.6Form70.8
58.7Power65.4
0.86xG0.79
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