GGOALVIO

World · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/23/2025, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Vasco DA Gama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lanus are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Vasco DA Gama

Probability

54.4%

Model confidence

54.4%

Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Vasco DA GamaDLWWL

GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
LanusDDWDD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Vasco DA GamaLanus
48.1Attack33.3
70.4Defence33.3
55.6Form50.0
58.7Power40.7
1.56xG0.69
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