Vasco DA Gamavs
Lanus
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/23/2025, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vasco DA Gama are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Lanus are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 40.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 54.4% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 39% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
54.4%
Model confidence
54.4%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.20
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80