Vasco DA GamavsIndependiente del Valle

Vasco DA Gama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Independiente del Valle are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 23.7-point power-rating edge (60.2 v 36.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.8% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 37% for over 2.5 goals.