Vasco DA GamavsFluminense

Vasco DA Gama are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Fluminense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 12.6-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.2% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.