Vasco DA GamavsFBC Melgar

Vasco DA Gama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded, while FBC Melgar are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 13.4-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 49.2% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.