Vasco DA GamavsChapecoense-sc

Vasco DA Gama are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Chapecoense-sc are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (43.5 v 29.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Serie A, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 46% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.