Vasco DA Gamavs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 10/21/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Vasco DA Gama 0-0 Boca Juniors, with an exact score probability of 21%.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasco DA Gama 1-3 Boca Juniors
Original prediction
Vasco DA Gama
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 00:30 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.71 | 34.9% | 42.1% | 7.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.01 | 31.5% | 31.3% | -0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.83 | 33.6% | 26.7% | -6.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
7.1 pts
Projected Score
Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Boca Juniors
Exact score probability: 21%
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
42.1%
Model confidence
42.1%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20