Vasco DA Gamavs
A. Italiano
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/15/2026, 12:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasco DA Gama · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Vasco DA Gama are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDLDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while A. Italiano are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasco DA Gama hold a 13.6-point power-rating edge (58.7 v 45.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Vasco DA Gama holds the strongest overall chance at 53% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasco DA Gama
Probability
53.5%
Model confidence
53.5%
Vasco DA Gama has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80