Friendlies Clubs
Vasas
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Soroksar
AwayFriendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.
The model projects 2.18 xG for Vasas and 0.65 xG for Soroksar. Soroksar's projected xG of 0.65 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Vasas's defensive record — 1 clean sheet in 10 matches — combined with Soroksar's limited attacking output (3 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.
The model projects a combined xG of 2.83 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.
Momentum trend
last 5 matchesVasasSoroksarProbability breakdown
Vasas leads with 36% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.
Vasas Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0
Vasas host Soroksar in Friendlies Clubs. Vasas have recorded WWWWWD in recent matches while Soroksar arrive with a run of WLWLLW.
Why GoalVio backs this
The xG model projects 2.18 for Vasas and 0.65 for Soroksar. The gap of 1.52 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.
Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.
Risk factors
- ⚠Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
- ⚠The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.
Recent form
Vasas
Soroksar
Frequently asked questions
Who will win Vasas vs Soroksar?
GoalVio's model predicts Vasas to win with 36% confidence.
What is the predicted score for Vasas vs Soroksar?
The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.
Will both teams score in Vasas vs Soroksar?
GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasas vs Soroksar?
GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.