Vasasvs
Nyiregyhaza
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 9/4/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-0 (11%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasas 3-2 Nyiregyhaza
Original prediction
Vasas
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.21 | 41.6% | 52.0% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.41 | 27.0% | 24.3% | -2.7 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.4% | 23.6% | -7.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–011%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Vasas
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Vasas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VasasLLWWD
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00
BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
NyiregyhazaDLWLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
VasasNyiregyhaza
55.6Attack33.3
61.1Defence44.4
44.4Form38.9
52.5Power41.6
1.89xG0.93