Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Vasas are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Komárno are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Vasas hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (60.6 v 54.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Vasas holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 61% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Vasas
Probability
49.4%
Model confidence
11.6%
Vasas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 9 · avg 1.80/1.80
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40