Vasasvs
Kisvarda FC
COMPLETEDHungary · NB I · 10/10/2026, 12:45:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasas · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasas 1-1 Kisvarda FC
Original prediction
Vasas
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 14 September 2026 at 16:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.74 | 52.6% | 46.5% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.69 | 24.8% | 27.4% | 2.6 pts |
| Away | 4.05 | 22.6% | 26.2% | 3.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.69 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-6.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Vasas
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
Vasas has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
VasasWWWLL
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80
BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Kisvarda FCLWWDD
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
VasasKisvarda FC
70.8Attack37.5
54.2Defence58.3
58.3Form37.5
60.6Power46.6
1.96xG0.99