Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Saturday, 18 July 2026Last updated 10:10
Vasas

Vasas

Home
L
10
Full time
Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Draw35%
Vasas34%
Fehérvár FC31%
Win probability
Vasas
34%
Draw
35%
Fehérvár FC
31%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Vasas
34
Fehérvár FC
94
Defence
Vasas
6
Fehérvár FC
91
Momentum
Vasas
0
Fehérvár FC
100
Danger (xG)
Vasas
0.90
Fehérvár FC
2.70
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 2.08 xG for Vasas and 0.61 xG for Fehérvár FC. Fehérvár FC's projected xG of 0.61 is not sufficient to make scoring a reliable expectation — the model does not see them generating enough high-quality chances to break through.The projected 0-0 scoreline features a clean sheet for one side. With only 0 goal expected in total, the match is projected to be a tight, low-scoring affair where one goal may be enough to decide the contest.Vasas's defensive record — 1 clean sheet in 10 matches — combined with Fehérvár FC's limited attacking output (4 clean sheets conceded in 10 games) supports the model's projection of at least one side keeping a clean sheet.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.68 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 0-0 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. Only 0 goal is expected in the most likely outcome — the model sees this as a tight, low-scoring contest where one goal could be decisive.Historical meetings between these sides have averaged 2.2 goals per game — a pattern consistent with the current xG projection and the model's under 2.5 lean.

xG for (Vasas)
0.90
avg per match
xG for (Fehérvár FC)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Vasas)
2.70
avg per match
xG against (Fehérvár FC)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
VasasVasas
LW
Fehérvár FCFehérvár FC
WL

Probability breakdown

35% confidence
Vasas34%
Draw35%
Fehérvár FC31%

Draw leads with 35% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Vasas vs Fehérvár FC: Model Points to a Closely-Fought Draw

Vasas host Fehérvár FC in Friendlies Clubs. Vasas have recorded WWWWWD in recent matches while Fehérvár FC arrive with a run of WWLWLW. These sides have met 10 times recently, averaging 2.2 goals per game.

Why GoalVio backs this

The xG model projects 2.08 for Vasas and 0.61 for Fehérvár FC. The gap of 1.47 is not large enough to decisively separate the sides — neither team is creating chances at a level that justifies a clear winner projection.

Biggest risk: null have won 5 of their last 10 matches — a run of form the model acknowledges but cannot fully override. If null carry that momentum into this fixture and score first, the upset probability rises significantly above what the headline verdict suggests.

Risk factors

  • The head-to-head record is competitive — the underdog has won 4 of the last 10 meetings.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.
  • The Poisson model works on averages — individual moments of quality can decide matches that data suggests should be close.

Recent form

Vasas

Vasas

L
@ MTK Budapest
1 Jul 2026
13
W
vs Ajka
17 May 2026
21
Fehérvár FC

Fehérvár FC

W
vs Szombathelyi Haladas
10 Jul 2026
30
L
vs Budafoki LC
17 May 2026
13

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Vasas vs Fehérvár FC?

GoalVio's model predicts a draw with 35% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Vasas vs Fehérvár FC?

A predicted scoreline has not yet been generated for this fixture.

Will both teams score in Vasas vs Fehérvár FC?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Vasas vs Fehérvár FC?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more