Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vasas II · BTTS No · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 4-0 (14%), 3-0 (13%), 5-0 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Vasas II 3-0 BKV Előre
Original prediction
Vasas II
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.21 | 75.3% | 85.8% | 10.4 pts |
| Draw | 6.25 | 14.5% | 8.9% | -5.6 pts |
| Away | 8.95 | 10.1% | 5.4% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.21 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
10.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.4–014%
- 2.3–013%
- 3.5–012%
Predicted outcome
Vasas II
Probability
85.8%
Model confidence
85.8%
Vasas II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Vasas IIWWLWL
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
BTTS 0/5O2.5 2/5
BKV ElőreLWLDL
GF 5 · GA 18 · avg 1.00/3.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Vasas IIBKV Előre
74.1Attack25.9
59.3Defence0.0
51.9Form14.8
59.0Power17.1
4.37xG0.65